Page 37 - Policy Economic Report - March 2026
P. 37

POLICY AND ECONOMIC REPORT
                OIL & GAS MARKET

                     per notification dated 30th September 2024. Now, as per notification dated 31st March 2025,
                     Gas price ceiling was further revised for the period 1st April, 2025 – 30th September, 2025 was
                     notified as US$10.04/MMBTU on Gross Calorific Value (GCV) basis. Prices were further revised
                     for the period 1st October, 2025 – 31st March, 2026 was notified as US$9.72/MMBTU on Gross
                     Calorific Value (GCV) basis as per notification dated 30th September 2025.
            Figure 18: Global natural gas price trends ($/mmbtu)

            80

            70

            60

            50

            40

            30

            20

            10

             0

            Feb-22
                 Apr-22
                      Jun-22
                            Aug-22
                                  Oct-22
                                       Dec-22
                                             Feb-23
                                                  Apr-23
                                                        Jun-23
                                                             Aug-23
                                                                   Oct-23
                                                                        Dec-23
                                                                              Feb-24
                                                                                    Apr-24
                                                                                         Jun-24
                                                                                               Aug-24
                                                                                                    Oct-24
                                                                                                          Dec-24
                                                                                                                Feb-25
                                                                                                                     Apr-25
                                                                                                                          Jun-25
                                                                                                                                Aug-25
                                                                                                                                      Oct-25
                                                                                                                                           Dec-25
                                                                                                                                                 Feb-26

                      Domestic gas price  Henry Hub Natural Gas Spot Price  Natural gas, Europe  Spot LNG price, Japan

            Source - EIA, World Bank                                                                    YoY
                                                                                                    (%) change
            Table 7: Gas price, February 2026
                                                                                                      -12.69%
            Natural Gas                                 Price                     MoM                 -4.33%
                                                                               (%) change              -11%
                                                        ($/MMBTU)                                     -13.6%
                                                                                  9.66%               -26.7%
            India, Domestic gas price (Mar’26)          6.81                                          -10.3%
            India, Gas price ceiling – difficult areas  9.72                     -3.19%
            (Oct’25-Mar’26)
                                                                                    3%
            GIXI (Gas index of India) price*            10.9                     -53.1%
                                                                                  -4.4%
            Henry Hub                                   3.62                      -0.2%

            Natural Gas, Europe                         11.24

            Liquefied Natural Gas, Japan                11.47

            Source - EIA, PPAC, World Bank, IGX

            *Prices are weighted average prices (excluding ceiling price gas)

March 2026                                                                                       Page | 36
   32   33   34   35   36   37   38   39   40   41   42